《计算机应用研究》|Application Research of Computers

考虑缺货策略的闭环供应链牛鞭效应系统动力学分析

Bullwhip effect in closed supply chain considering backlog policy by system dynamics method

免费全文下载 (已被下载 次)  
获取PDF全文
作者 李卓群
机构 华东交通大学 交通运输与物流学院,南昌 330013
统计 摘要被查看 次,已被下载
文章编号 1001-3695(2018)08-2360-03
DOI 10.3969/j.issn.1001-3695.2018.08.029
摘要 为考察回收物流对供应链牛鞭效应的影响程度,建立了由需求方、制造商和原材料供应商、回收商组成的闭环供应链系统动力学模型。模型建立在供应能力受限并禁止退货的约束条件上,使系统成为分段线性复杂系统。分别在允许延期交货和不允许延期交货条件下进行实验,仿真实验结果表明,在不允许延期交货策略下,回收物流会放大牛鞭效应;而在允许延期交货策略下,若回收比例合理,则可以弱化牛鞭效应。
关键词 闭环供应链;牛鞭效应;系统动力学;缺货策略
基金项目 江西省自然科学基金资助项目(20171BAA208010)
江西省教育厅科技资助项目(GJJ12285)
江西省高校人文社科项目(JC1507)
本文URL http://www.arocmag.com/article/01-2018-08-029.html
英文标题 Bullwhip effect in closed supply chain considering backlog policy by system dynamics method
作者英文名 Li Zhuoqun
机构英文名 CollegeofTransportation&Logistics,EastChinaJiaotongUniversity,Nanchang330013,China
英文摘要 To explore how the recycle logistics effect supply chain performance, the study constructed a closed supply chain system dynamics model, which was composed by demand, manufacture, supplier and recycler.The research considered the constraint condition for the ability of supply and forbidding return, which made the system more complicated and become nonlinear system.The experiments simulated the dynamic changes under different shortage polices of whether permitting delay delivery or not.The result shows that the return logistics would amplify the bullwhip effect under the condition of not permitting delay delivery.While under the condition of permitting delay delivery, the recycle logistics can partly dampen the bullwhip effect in some certain conditions.
英文关键词 closed supply chain; bullwhip effect; system dynamics; shortage policy
参考文献 查看稿件参考文献
  [1] Mashhadi A R, Esmaeilian B, Behdad S. Uncertainty management in remanufacturing decisions:a consideration of uncertainties in market demand, quantity, and quality of returns[J] . ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part B:Mechanical Engineering, 2015, 1(2):021007.
[2] Schenkel M, Canils M C J, Krikke H, et al. Understanding value creation in closed loop supply chains-past findings and future directions[J] . Journal of Manufacturing Systems, 2015, 37(3):729-745.
[3] Mitra S. Inventory management in a two-echelon closed-loop supply chain with correlated demands and returns[J] . Computers & Industrial Engineering, 2012, 62(4):870-879.
[4] Nakashima K, Arimitsu H, Nose T, et al. Optimal control of a remanufacturing system[J] . International Journal of Production Research, 2004, 42(17):3619-3625.
[5] Naim M M, Tang O. The impact of information transparency on the dynamic behavior of a hybrid manufacturing/remanufacturing system[J] . International Journal of Production Research, 2004, 42(19):4135-4152.
[6] 黄小原, 邱若臻. 基于再制造的闭环供应链动态模型及其鲁棒H∞控制[J] . 控制与决策, 2007, 22(6):667-669, 674.
[7] 尤建新, 隋明刚, 霍佳震. 闭环供应链牛鞭效应分析[J] . 系统工程理论与实践, 2007, 27(12):111-116.
[8] 张玉春, 郭宁. 基于系统动力学的闭环供应链中回收商行为[J] . 系统工程, 2014, 32(6):99-104.
[9] 公彦德, 达庆利. 不同物流模式下的再制造补贴机制和供应链稳定性研究[J] . 管理工程学报, 2016, 30(1):140-146.
[10] 初叶萍, 张曙红. 闭环供应链混合切换库存控制模型研究[J] . 计算机应用研究, 2017, 34(6):1690-1693, 1698.
[11] 王晶, 王寻. 受约束供应链模型的复杂动力学行为[J] . 系统工程理论与实践, 2012, 32(4):746-751.
[12] 李卓群, 严广乐. 不确定需求下带约束供应链系统复杂动态行为分析[J] . 控制与决策, 2016, 31(1):173-179.
[13] Boute R N, Disney S M, Lambrecht M R, et al. Coordinating lead times and safety stocks under autocorrelated demand[J] . European Journal of Operational Research, 2014, 232(1):52-63.
收稿日期 2017/4/4
修回日期 2017/6/12
页码 2360-2362
中图分类号 F713.4
文献标志码 A